Here’s your wrap for Mon, Nov 24 – Fri, Nov 28, 2025 (rounded to the dollar).
Weekly Market Summary:
Stocks rallied for a fifth straight day Friday, capping a strong holiday-shortened week on rising odds of a December Fed cut and solid mega-cap momentum. A brief CME-linked futures outage early Friday added noise but was resolved before the light Black Friday session wrapped. For the week, the S&P +3.7%, Dow +3.2%, and Nasdaq +4.9%, reversing mid-month tech jitters. Alphabet helped lead late-month gains on Gemini buzz, while Nvidia still finished November lower despite a Friday bounce in the broader tape. Turnout was seasonally thin with the early Friday close, but breadth improved as traders priced in easier policy into year-end.
Five Stocks Worth Watching:
- Alphabet (GOOGL): Strong engagement around its Gemini AI push kept the name in leadership conversations.
- Nvidia (NVDA): Still a key risk barometer; down double-digits for November even as indices climbed into month-end.
- CME Group (CME): In focus after a data-center outage briefly froze futures before recovery; operational headlines can sway sentiment.
- Amazon (AMZN): Benefited from Black Friday optimism and holiday-spending chatter.
- Jefferies (JEF): Under scrutiny after SEC-probe headlines; potential catalyst for the broker/dealer cohort.
What The Prediction Markets Says (As Of November 21, 2025):
- Polymarket — Will There Be A Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? (9% chance)
- Kalshi — Who Will Win The Pro Football Championship? ( 21% to Los Angeles Rams, 9% to Philadelphia Eagles)
- PredictIt — Number Of States Redistricting By March 31? (8 or 9 @ $0.57, 6 or 7 @ $0.45)
- Smarkets — Will the House of Representatives pass articles of impeachment against Donald Trump during his second term as president? (50.25% to Yes, 57.47% to No)
- Manifold — Will Mamdani stop implementing policies that require all children in New York to learn Arabic numerals at an early age? (98.3% to No, 0.9% to Yes)
Please note that stock market investments carry inherent risks, and past performance does not guarantee future results.
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