Here’s your wrap for Mon, Nov 17 – Fri, Nov 21, 2025 (rounded to the dollar).

Weekly Market Summary:

Stocks were broadly lower week-over-week as tech weakness and valuation worries dominated, despite a sharp Friday rebound on rising odds of a December Fed cut. Monday opened with selling—AI leaders led declines—setting a cautious tone. Thursday’s slide accelerated the weekly damage, with the S&P 500 −1.6% and the Nasdaq −2.2% on the day. By Friday, headlines and Fed-watching pushed risk back on, trimming losses into the close even as the week stayed negative overall. Macro chatter centered on rate-cut probabilities after NY Fed’s Williams signaled cuts “in the near term,” stoking intraday volatility.

Five Stocks Worth Watching:

• Nvidia (NVDA): In focus all week; Friday chatter about potential China chip allowances (H200) helped stabilize sentiment after heavy tech selling.
• Eli Lilly (LLY): Crossed the $1T market-cap milestone, underscoring health-care leadership amid tech rotation.
• Ross Stores (ROST): Earnings strength made it a notable gainer into week’s end.
• Gap (GAP): Post-earnings pop kept retailers on traders’ radar.
• Intuit (INTU): Mentioned among notable movers; software names showed dispersion around prints and guidance.

What The Prediction Markets Says (As Of November 21, 2025):

• Polymarket — What will the Fed do at the upcoming meetings? (66% on a 25 bps cut, 32% on no change)
• Kalshi — How low will Bitcoin get this year? ( 71% say below $80,000, 27% say below $70,000)
• PredictIt — Who will be the first Cabinet member to leave in 2025? (Scott Bessent @ $0.02, Pete Hegseth @ $0.02, Kristi Noem @ $0.02)
• Smarkets — Donald Trump to serve as president for 9+ years by end of 2030? (92.59% to No, 8.00% to Yes)
• Manifold — Will Apple block Google’s Airdrop implementation before end of 2025? (23% to Yes, 77% to No)

Please note that stock market investments carry inherent risks, and past performance does not guarantee future results.

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