Here’s your wrap for Mon, Nov 3 – Fri, Nov 7, 2025 (rounded to the dollar).

Weekly Market Summary:

U.S. stocks finished lower for the week, with the Nasdaq −3% as a sharp tech/AI unwind made this the worst tech week since April. Friday ended mixed—S&P +0.1%, Dow +0.2%, Nasdaq −0.2%—trimming deeper intraday losses into the bell. The ongoing government shutdown continued to muddy macro reads, keeping volatility elevated and breadth weak. Rate expectations wobbled after Powell signaled a December cut isn’t guaranteed, knocking back odds and adding to risk-off tone midweek. Earnings drove outsized single-name moves—both positive and negative—amplifying the dispersion under the surface.

Five Stocks Worth Watching:

• Expedia (EXPE) — ripped ~17% on a strong report; one of Friday’s standout earnings winners.
• Block (SQ) — slid ~8% post-earnings, a notable drag in fintech.
• Affirm (AFRM) — popped on BNPL momentum, highlighted among notable weekly movers.
• Qualcomm (QCOM) — weighed on chips after a post-earnings dip as investors questioned handset demand.
• Peloton (PTON) — bounced on better-than-feared results, showing how beaten-down consumer names can swing on prints.

What The Prediction Markets Says (As Of November 7, 2025):

• Polymarket — Will federal employees receive back pay after the government shutdown? (74% Chance)
• Kalshi — Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028? (36% to Gavin Newsom, 9% to Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez)
• PredictIt — California Gubernatorial Winner (32% to Katie Porter, 11% to Antonio Villaraigosa)
• Smarkets — Which party will control the House after the midterm elections? (79.37% to the Democratic Party, 20.83% to the Republican Party)
• Manifold — Will US commercial flights see ≥10% cancellations week of November 24? (61% Chance)

Please note that stock market investments carry inherent risks, and past performance does not guarantee future results.

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