Here’s your wrap for Mon, Oct 20 – Fri, Oct 24, 2025 (rounded to the dollar).

Weekly Market Summary:

A cooler-than-expected CPI print on Friday sparked a broad rally and pushed all three major U.S. indexes toward or into record highs. The Dow jumped hundreds of points Friday, aided by strength in names like IBM and Nvidia, while the S&P 500 and Nasdaq each gained roughly ~1%. Earlier in the week, stocks were already pressing up near records following a strong Monday session. Earnings helped the tone: Intel beat estimates, while tech sentiment swung day-to-day on mixed reports from heavyweights. The lingering federal data backlog from the government shutdown kept traders leaning on corporate results and CPI for direction, but bulls ended the week in control.

Five Stocks Worth Watching:

• IBM (IBM): Spiked on Friday; a notable leader as risk appetite returned.
• AMD (AMD): Rallied alongside IBM on tech headlines, adding to the day’s momentum.
• Intel (INTC): Beat earnings and lifted semiconductor sentiment.
• Ford (F): Jumped after strong Q3 results; cyclical barometer into the rest of earnings season.
• Netflix (NFLX): Slid on results earlier in the week—worth watching for follow-through and guidance updates.

What The Prediction Markets Says (As Of October 24, 2025):

• Polymarket — Oct 29 FOMC: ~98% odds of a 25 bps cut (dashboard + market page).
• Kalshi — 2025 cuts count: Markets leaning to two–three total cuts by year-end after September’s first cut.
• PredictIt — 2026 U.S. House control: The liquid benchmark contract for post-midterm party control.
• Smarkets — 2028 U.S. Presidential winner: Odds tables currently show JD Vance as the leading single-name favorite (~27%).
• Manifold — 2025 U.S. government shutdown duration/outcome: Active markets on whether/how long the shutdown lasts and how it ends.

Please note that stock market investments carry inherent risks, and past performance does not guarantee future results.

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